Mismanagement threatens the productivity and sustainability of an increasing number of capture fisheries globally, hindering these resources’ ability to contribute to socioeconomic and environmental outcomes such as those embodied in the Sustainable Development Goals. Using Pakistan as a case study, we assess the contribution that improved management of Pakistan’s marine fisheries can make to development through economic growth, productivity, employment, and resource sustainability. Using a bioeconomic model based on a recent stock assessment, we find large projected benefits of fisheries reform relative to business as usual. However, projected production volume is not higher than current output, which is inflated by ongoing overfishing. Aquaculture is found to have potential for substantial and complementary socioeconomic benefits. We highlight how Pakistan’s fisheries mirror global trends of plateauing wild capture and falling productivity and suggest key policy changes and investments along the value chain that can underpin more productive and sustainable fisheries in this context.

中文翻译：

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渔业改革的潜在发展贡献：来自巴基斯坦的证据

管理不善威胁着全球越来越多的捕捞渔业的生产力和可持续性，阻碍了这些资源为社会经济和环境成果做出贡献的能力，例如体现在可持续发展目标中的成果。我们以巴基斯坦为案例研究，评估改善巴基斯坦海洋渔业管理可以通过经济增长、生产力、就业和资源可持续性对发展做出的贡献。使用基于最近的种群评估的生物经济模型，我们发现渔业改革相对于常规业务的巨大预期收益。然而，预计产量不会高于目前的产量，这会因持续的过度捕捞而被夸大。发现水产养殖具有产生实质性和互补性社会经济效益的潜力。