Purpose This study aims to empirically investigate the potential impact of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) on US textile and apparel manufacturing. Design/methodology/approach This study adopts the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium model based on the latest GTAP9 database. Findings The findings of the study suggest that: the “yarn-forward” rule will not work effectively in the context of TPP; and the development of Vietnam’s local textile industry is a critical threat to the survival of US textile and apparel (T&A) manufacturing in the long run. Originality/value The findings of the study augment the understanding of the T&A-specific sectoral impact of TPP and address the particular concerns of the US T&A manufacturers with regard to the new business environment and the possible scenarios after the implementation of the agreement.

中文翻译：

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跨太平洋伙伴关系（TPP）对美国纺织和服装制造业的影响

目的本研究旨在实证研究跨太平洋伙伴关系（TPP）对美国纺织和服装制造业的潜在影响。设计/方法/方法本研究采用基于最新GTAP9数据库的全球贸易分析项目（GTAP）可计算的一般均衡模型。结论研究的结果表明：“纱线前移”规则在TPP的背景下将无法有效地发挥作用；从长远来看，越南当地纺织工业的发展对美国纺织服装（T＆A）制造业的生存构成了严重威胁。独创性/价值研究的结果增强了对TPP的T＆A特定行业影响的理解，并解决了美国T＆T的特殊问题