This study examined the impact of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)’s ecosystem vitality (EV) on its agricultural exports to the rest of the world. Using a sample of the six major ASEAN countries (ASEAN-6) (including Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) and their 72 trading partners for the period 2007–2016, we found robust evidence of a positive relationship between the quality of EV and the volume of agricultural exports. At the sectoral level, the quality of EV had the most substantial effects on the ASEAN’s exports of SITC-0 (food and live animals) and exerted the least impact on the ASEAN’s exports of SITC-2 (crude materials, inedible, except fuels). This empirical evidence implies that natural resource-intensive products are more sensitive to the quality of EV. At the country level, EV has the most potent effect on the ASEAN’s agricultural exports to high-income countries and the least impact on the ASEAN’s agricultural exports to low-income countries. To promote agricultural exports, especially to high-income countries, our empirical results suggest that ASEAN countries need to build specific and effective plans for conservation of environment and management of sustainable ecosystems.

JEL Classification: C33, F14, and Q56

这项研究研究了东南亚国家联盟（ASEAN）的生态系统活力（EV）对其向世界其他地区的农产品出口的影响。我们使用了六个主要的东盟国家（ASEAN-6）（包括印度尼西亚，马来西亚，菲律宾，新加坡，泰国和越南）及其72个贸易伙伴在2007–2016年期间的样本，得出有力证据表明电动汽车的质量和农产品出口量。在部门层面上，电动汽车的质量对东盟的SITC-0（粮食和活畜）出口影响最大，对东盟的SITC-2出口影响最小（粗制材料，不可食用，燃料除外） 。该经验证据表明，自然资源密集型产品对电动汽车的质量更为敏感。在国家一级，电动汽车对东盟对高收入国家的农产品出口影响最大，对东盟对低收入国家的农产品出口影响最小。为了促进农业出口，特别是向高收入国家的农业出口，我们的经验结果表明，东盟国家需要制定具体有效的计划，以保护环境和管理可持续的生态系统。

JEL分类： C33，F14和Q56