Abstract New York Bay is one of the most important transition regions of ships trading to east America. The region plays an important role in the commerce of the New York metropolitan area. The area is surrounded with the coasts that have various levels of environmental sensitivity. The area accommodates high diversity of native ecosystems and species that are rather vulnerable in case of oil spill. Thus getting well informed about the likelihood, or fate, of oil spills around this region is of great importance so that proactive measures can be taken. The purpose of this study is to investigate the oil spill and predict the future accidents likely to be encountered around the Bay of New York. Two trajectory models have been conducted for the study. ADIOS (Automated Data Inquiry for Oil Spills), has been conducted for natural degradation calculations, and, GNOME (General NOAA Operational Modeling Environment), has been conducted for surface spread simulation. The results gained through these efforts are hoped to be useful for many organizations dealing with oil spill response operations and contribute to an effective and efficient coordination among the relevant institutions.

中文翻译：

---

纽约湾溢油数值模拟

摘要 纽约湾是船舶贸易往东美洲最重要的过渡区之一。该地区在纽约大都市区的商业中发挥着重要作用。该地区周围环绕着具有不同程度环境敏感性的海岸。该地区拥有高度多样性的本地生态系统和物种，在石油泄漏的情况下非常脆弱。因此，充分了解该地区周围石油泄漏的可能性或命运非常重要，以便采取积极措施。本研究的目的是调查漏油事件并预测纽约湾附近未来可能发生的事故。本研究采用了两种轨迹模型。ADIOS（溢油自动数据查询），已经进行了自然退化计算，并且已经进行了 GNOME（通用 NOAA 操作建模环境）进行了表面扩展模拟。希望通过这些努力获得的结果对处理溢油应急作业的许多组织有用，并有助于相关机构之间有效和高效的协调。