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Automation and sectoral reallocation
SERIEs ( IF 1.737 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-30 , DOI: 10.1007/s13209-021-00240-w
Dennis C Hutschenreiter 1 , Tommaso Santini 1 , Eugenia Vella 2
Affiliation  

Empirical evidence in Dauth et al. (J Eur Econ Assoc, 2021) suggests that industrial robot adoption in Germany has led to a sectoral reallocation of employment from manufacturing to services, leaving total employment unaffected. We rationalize this evidence through the lens of a general equilibrium model with two sectors, matching frictions and endogenous participation. Automation induces firms to create fewer vacancies and job seekers to search less in the automatable sector (manufacturing). The service sector expands due to the sectoral complementarity in the production of the final good and a positive wealth effect for the household. Analysis across steady states shows that the reduction in manufacturing employment can be offset by the increase in service employment. The model can also replicate the magnitude of the decline in the ratio of manufacturing employment to service employment in Germany between 1994 and 2014.



中文翻译:

自动化和部门重新分配

Dauth 等人的经验证据。(J Eur Econ Assoc, 2021) 表明,德国采用工业机器人导致就业从制造业重新分配到服务业,使总就业不受影响。我们通过具有两个部门,匹配摩擦和内生参与的一般均衡模型的镜头来合理化这一证据。自动化促使公司创造更少的职位空缺,并促使求职者减少在自动化领域(制造业)的搜索。由于最终产品生产的部门互补性和对家庭的积极财富效应,服务部门得以扩张。跨稳定状态的分析表明,制造业就业的减少可以被服务业就业的增加所抵消。

更新日期:2021-07-30
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