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Predicting Failure on the Sex Offense Registry: An Examination of Static and Dynamic Factors
Justice Evaluation Journal Pub Date : 2021-08-25 , DOI: 10.1080/24751979.2021.1963636
Kristina J Thompson 1 , Beth M. Huebner 2
Affiliation  

Abstract

There is considerable research on the efficacy of sex offense registries, but less is known about individual compliance with registration. Recent research and subsequent policy have highlighted the importance of understanding technical violations as a hidden driver of mass incarceration, and there is emerging evidence that suggests that agency violation practices vary widely. We analyzed administrative data from a large sample of individuals on the sex offense registry in Missouri to identify the factors associated with risk for noncompliance, including a technical violation and reincarceration. Both stable and dynamic factors contribute to our understanding of compliance and incarceration. Findings also suggest that living in a county with few registrants contributes to lowered odds of noncompliance. Alternatively, high caseloads contribute to greater odds of incarceration only. More generally, we find a sizeable portion of jurisdictional variation remains for both noncompliance and incarceration, a finding that suggests different enforcement practices across place.



中文翻译:

预测性犯罪登记处的失败:静态和动态因素的检查

摘要

对性犯罪登记的有效性进行了大量研究,但对个人遵守登记的情况知之甚少。最近的研究和随后的政策强调了将技术违规理解为大规模监禁的隐藏驱动因素的重要性,并且有新的证据表明,机构违规行为差异很大。我们分析了密苏里州性犯罪登记处大量个人样本的行政数据,以确定与违规风险相关的因素,包括技术违规和再监禁。稳定和动态因素都有助于我们理解合规和监禁。调查结果还表明,居住在注册人很少的县有助于降低不合规的几率。或者,高案件量只会增加监禁的几率。更一般地说,我们发现不合规和监禁的司法管辖差异很大一部分,这一发现表明各地的执法实践不同。

更新日期:2021-08-25
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