Applications of econometrics and statistics are widely used as tools in many disciplines as a means to provide quantitative analysis to investigate hypotheses. Examples include economics, sociology, and cliometrics. While so far in a genealogy such an approach has not been attempted, in this exploratory work we suggest some possibilities for the application of such quantitative tools to the subject. In doing so, we introduce and discuss the Forecasting and Inference Tool, an application of this framework, and a tool that can help genealogists to be more productive in their fieldwork by estimating years of death, marriage, and birth.

中文翻译：

---

统计和家谱：天作之合？预测和推理工具，中心极限定理在系谱研究中的应用

计量经济学和统计学的应用被广泛用作许多学科的工具，作为提供定量分析来调查假设的手段。例子包括经济学、社会学和气候学。虽然到目前为止在系谱中还没有尝试过这种方法，但在这项探索性工作中，我们提出了将此类定量工具应用于该主题的一些可能性。在此过程中，我们介绍并讨论了预测和推理工具，这是该框架的一个应用程序，以及一种可以通过估计死亡、结婚和出生年数来帮助系谱学家在实地工作中提高工作效率的工具。