Predictive risk models (‘PRMs’) are increasingly utilized in policing and child protection contexts to monitor, flag and assess children ‘at risk’ of victimization and/or offending. Policing and child protection PRMs focus on similar vulnerable and marginalized cohorts, strengthening the power of the State’s gaze over these groups. An analysis of the overlap between these PRMs reveals problematic State constructions of vulnerability and risk, exposing porous lines between welfare and policing agendas. This Article contends that these PRMs may result in the criminalization of vulnerable and marginalized children, thus undermining objectives of the United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Child (UNCRC). The UNCRC is applied to assess implications for privacy, discrimination and child justice principles, in context with positive obligations to protect children and promote their best interests. The Article also addresses the UNCRC through a critical lens, identifying shortcomings that may undermine its potential to confront relevant harms.

中文翻译：

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冒险儿童：预测风险分析对弱势和边缘化儿童的儿童保护和警务的影响

预测风险模型（“PRM”）越来越多地用于警务和儿童保护环境中，以监测、标记和评估“处于受害和/或犯罪风险中”的儿童。警务和儿童保护 PRM 侧重于类似的弱势和边缘化群体，加强国家对这些群体的关注。对这些 PRM 之间重叠的分析揭示了有问题的国家对脆弱性和风险的构建，暴露了福利和治安议程之间的漏洞。本文认为，这些 PRM 可能导致对弱势和边缘化儿童的刑事定罪，从而破坏《联合国儿童权利公约》（UNCRC）的目标。UNCRC 用于评估对隐私、歧视和儿童司法原则的影响，在保护儿童和促进他们最大利益的积极义务的背景下。文章还从批判的角度探讨了 UNCRC，指出了可能削弱其应对相关危害的潜力的缺陷。