Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of decision-making in the context of judgment-based (subjective) deselection using decision theory concepts developed by Daniel Kahneman in collaboration with others. Judgment-based deselection is considered from multiple perspectives using this approach. Situating the deselection context within loss aversion, status quo bias, and the endowment effect (products of prospect theory and behavioral economics) may explain the psychological reluctance accompanying deselection. The role of feedback as a condition for developing intuitive expertise demonstrates the limited potential for developing expertise in subjective deselection. Heuristics and biases employed in decision-making and decision fatigue may account for inconsistencies in deselection decisions.

摘要

本文使用 Daniel Kahneman 与其他人合作开发的决策理论概念，对基于判断（主观）取消选择的背景下的决策进行分析。使用这种方法从多个角度考虑基于判断的取消选择。将取消选择的背景置于损失厌恶、现状偏见和禀赋效应（前景理论和行为经济学的产物）中，可以解释伴随取消选择的心理不情愿。反馈作为发展直觉专业知识的条件的作用表明，在主观取消选择方面发展专业知识的潜力有限。决策和决策疲劳中采用的启发式和偏见可能会导致取消选择决策的不一致。