Based on a conjoint survey experiment we explore the support among European citizens for a European Union (EU) budgetary assistance instrument to combat adverse temporary or permanent economic shocks hitting Member States. Suitably designed, there is substantial support for such an EU instrument generally and across the sample countries. Support is broader when budgetary support is conditional on debt reduction in good times and on monies being spent in specific policy areas, in particular healthcare and education. Support also increases when there is a role for the European Commission in terms of monitoring and providing guidance. However, there is little support for policy packages that terminate a program and impose fines in the case of non-compliance. Further, there is broad acceptance of programs that entail long-run redistribution towards poorer countries. Financing the assistance through a progressive tax increase is more popular than through a flat tax increase. In general, there is substantial scope for constructing assistance packages that command majority support in all sample countries, particularly if programs have spending conditionality and progressive tax financing.

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欧盟有什么样的财政能力？来自五个欧洲国家在新冠疫情期间的随机调查实验的证据

基于一项联合调查实验，我们探讨了欧洲公民对欧盟 (EU) 预算援助工具的支持，以应对打击成员国的不利临时或永久性经济冲击。设计得当，这样的欧盟文书得到了普遍和样本国家的大力支持。如果预算支持的条件是在经济繁荣时期减少债务以及将资金用于特定政策领域，特别是医疗保健和教育，则支持范围更广。当欧盟委员会在监督和提供指导方面发挥作用时，支持也会增加。然而，对终止计划并在不遵守情况下处以罚款的一揽子政策几乎没有支持。进一步，人们普遍接受需要对较贫穷国家进行长期再分配的方案。通过累进增税为援助融资比通过单一增税更受欢迎。总体而言，在所有样本国家中构建获得多数支持的一揽子援助计划的空间很大，特别是如果计划具有支出条件和累进税收融资。