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COVID-19 Disclosures and Market Uncertainty: Evidence from 10-Q Filings
Australian Accounting Review ( IF 2.680 ) Pub Date : 2022-03-07 , DOI: 10.1111/auar.12369
Jie Hao 1 , Viet T. Pham 1
Affiliation  

We examine whether the quarterly filing COVID-19 disclosures reduce uncertainty for investors and analysts. We find a negative relationship between COVID-19 disclosure and return volatility, suggesting COVID-19 disclosure reduces investor uncertainty. This reduction effect concentrates mainly during the short window following 10-Q releases and phases out over time. We then detect that industry-wide COVID-19 disclosure dispersion is positively associated with return volatility, suggesting high variation of industry-wide COVID-19 disclosures reduces information comparability across firms, resulting in increased investor uncertainty. Moreover, we find that COVID-19 disclosures are positively associated with analysts’ downward earnings forecast revisions and negatively associated with analyst forecast dispersion after 10-Q releases, suggesting the disclosures reduce information risk even for sophisticated market participants. Further analyses show that COVID-19 disclosures are negatively associated with future financial and operational performances (i.e., sales, operating cash flow, operating income and ROA). Lastly, we find that the low readability of COVID-19 disclosure attenuates the negative relation between COVID-19 disclosure and market volatility. Collectively, our findings suggest that 10-Q COVID-19 disclosures contain value-relevant information that temporarily assists market participants in evaluating the changes in firms’ values in the time of a crisis.

中文翻译:

COVID-19 披露和市场不确定性:来自 10-Q 文件的证据

我们检查季度提交的 COVID-19 披露是否会减少投资者和分析师的不确定性。我们发现 COVID-19 披露与回报波动之间存在负相关关系,这表明 COVID-19 披露降低了投资者的不确定性。这种减少效应主要集中在 10-Q 发布后的短窗口期间,并随着时间的推移逐渐消失。然后,我们发现全行业 COVID-19 披露分散与回报波动呈正相关,这表明全行业 COVID-19 披露的高度差异降低了公司之间的信息可比性,导致投资者不确定性增加。此外,我们发现 COVID-19 披露与分析师下调盈利预测修正呈正相关,与 10-Q 发布后分析师预测离散度呈负相关,建议即使对于成熟的市场参与者,披露也会降低信息风险。进一步的分析表明,COVID-19 的披露与未来的财务和运营业绩(即销售额、运营现金流、运营收入和 ROA)呈负相关。最后,我们发现 COVID-19 披露的低可读性减弱了 COVID-19 披露与市场波动之间的负相关关系。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,10-Q COVID-19 披露包含与价值相关的信息,这些信息可以暂时帮助市场参与者评估危机期间公司价值的变化。营业现金流量、营业收入和 ROA)。最后,我们发现 COVID-19 披露的低可读性减弱了 COVID-19 披露与市场波动之间的负相关关系。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,10-Q COVID-19 披露包含与价值相关的信息,这些信息可以暂时帮助市场参与者评估危机期间公司价值的变化。营业现金流量、营业收入和 ROA)。最后,我们发现 COVID-19 披露的低可读性减弱了 COVID-19 披露与市场波动之间的负相关关系。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,10-Q COVID-19 披露包含与价值相关的信息,这些信息可以暂时帮助市场参与者评估危机期间公司价值的变化。
更新日期:2022-03-07
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