ABSTRACT

This study aimed to investigate spatial interdependence in bilateral trade activities of Tuna commodities in the ASEAN+2 countries and compare the gravity panel model and hybrid model in explaining the bilateral trade. The gravity panel model estimated the conservative “pushing and pulling the flows” factors, whereas the hybrid model was used to perfect the gravity panel model in capturing the relevance of spatial interdependence. Results showed the presence of spatial interdependence in the bilateral trades among ASEAN+2 countries for Tuna commodities. Through the hybrid model, the third-country effect was found to originate from three spatial lag of independent variables.

摘要

本研究旨在调查东盟+2国家金枪鱼商品双边贸易活动的空间相互依存关系，并比较重力面板模型和混合模型对双边贸易的解释。重力面板模型估计了保守的“推拉流”因素，而混合模型用于完善重力面板模型以捕捉空间相互依赖的相关性。结果表明，东盟+2 国家之间的金枪鱼商品双边贸易存在空间相互依存关系。通过混合模型，发现第三国效应源于自变量的三个空间滞后。