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Are There Cycles in Real Estate Cycles Research? Evidence from 30 Years of Papers Presented at Real Estate Society Meetings
Journal of Real Estate Literature Pub Date : 2018-07-01 , DOI: 10.1080/10835547.2018.12090480
Kämpf-Dern Annette 1 , Stephen E. Roulac 2 , Stephen A. Pyhrr 3
Affiliation  

Abstract Since the 1990s, real estate cycles research (RECR) has become an important part of real estate research societies' annual meetings. Pyhrr, Born, Manning, and Roulac (2003) developed a framework for structuring and classifying the body of knowledge on RECR. Since 2003, extensive and growing diversity in RECR has suggested several inadequacies in the original framework. In this paper, we explain the expanded framework, and report the results of research that tracks and analyzes the relative emphasis of RECR. We analyze all papers presented at the meetings of the eight real estate research societies, covering three decades (1983–2012), including 15,178 papers presented on all topics, and 729 papers on specific cycles topics. We find that while there are identifiable cycles in RECR, they are not yet as pronounced or predictable as we expected.

中文翻译:

房地产周期研究有周期吗?来自房地产协会会议上发表的 30 年论文的证据

摘要 自1990年代以来,房地产周期研究(RECR)已成为房地产研究学会年会的重要组成部分。Pyhrr、Born、Manning 和 Roulac (2003) 开发了一个框架,用于对 RECR 的知识体系进行结构化和分类。自 2003 年以来,RECR 广泛且不断增长的多样性表明原始框架存在一些不足之处。在本文中,我们解释了扩展的框架,并报告了跟踪和分析 RECR 相对重点的研究结果。我们分析了八个房地产研究协会会议上发表的所有论文,涵盖了三个十年(1983-2012),其中包括 15,178 篇关于所有主题的论文,以及 729 篇关于特定周期主题的论文。我们发现,虽然 RECR 中存在可识别的循环,
更新日期:2018-07-01
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