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PastoralScape: An Environment-Driven Model of Vaccination Decision Making Within Pastoralist Groups in East Africa
Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation ( IF 3.506 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-01 , DOI: 10.18564/jasss.4686
Matthew Sottile , Richard Iles , Craig McConnel , Ofer Amram , Eric Lofgren

Economicandcultural resilienceamongpastoralists inEastAfrica is threatenedby the interconnected forces of climate change and contagious diseases spread. A key factor in the resilience of livestock dependent communities is human decision making regarding vaccination against preventable diseases such as Ri Valley fever and Contagious Bovine Pleuropneumonia. The relationship between healthy and productive livestock andeconomic development of poor households and communities ismediatedbyhumandecisionmaking. This paper describes a coupled human and natural systems agent-basedmodel that focuses onOneHealth. Disease propagation and animal nutritional health are driven by historical GIS data that captures changes in foraging condition. The results of a series of experiments arepresented thatdemonstrate the sensitivity of a transformed RandomField IsingModel of humandecisionmaking to changes in humanmemory and rationality parameters. Results presented communicate that convergence in the splitting of households between vaccinating or not is achieved for combinations ofmemory and rationality. The interaction of these cognition parameters with public information and social networks of opinions is detailed. This version of the PastoralScapemodel is intended to form the basis upon which richer economic and human factor models can be built.

中文翻译:

PastoralScape:东非牧民群体内环境驱动的疫苗接种决策模型

东非牧民的经济和文化复原力受到气候变化和传染病蔓延的相互关联力量的威胁。依赖牲畜的社区恢复能力的一个关键因素是人类对针对可预防疾病(如 Ri Valley 热和传染性牛胸膜肺炎)进行疫苗接种的决策。健康和生产性牲畜与贫困家庭和社区的经济发展之间的关系是通过人类决策来调节的。本文描述了一个耦合人类和自然系统的基于代理的模型,该模型专注于 OneHealth。疾病传播和动物营养健康由历史 GIS 数据驱动,这些数据捕捉觅食条件的变化。一系列实验的结果展示了人类决策的变换随机场伊辛模型对人类记忆和理性参数变化的敏感性。所呈现的结果表明,通过记忆和理性的结合,实现了是否接种疫苗的家庭分裂的趋同。这些认知参数与公共信息和社会意见网络的相互作用是详细的。这个版本的 PastoralScape 模型旨在为构建更丰富的经济和人为因素模型奠定基础。这些认知参数与公共信息和社会意见网络的相互作用是详细的。这个版本的 PastoralScape 模型旨在为构建更丰富的经济和人为因素模型奠定基础。这些认知参数与公共信息和社会意见网络的相互作用是详细的。这个版本的 PastoralScape 模型旨在为构建更丰富的经济和人为因素模型奠定基础。
更新日期:2021-01-01
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