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Using Agent-Based Modelling to Assess Scenarios for Enhanced Soil and Water Conservation in the Boset District, Ethiopia
Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation ( IF 3.506 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-01 , DOI: 10.18564/jasss.4714
Samuel Assefa , Aad Kessler , Luuk Fleskens

Thesustainabilityof theongoingCampaign-BasedWatershedManagement (CBWM)programinEthiopia is questionable due to poor planning and implementation of the Soil andWater Conservation (SWC) structures. This study uses an empirically based, agent-based model to explore the e ect of six scenarios on both area of land covered by, as well as the quality of SWC structures in three Kebeles (villages) of Boset District. The analysis revealed that integratingmultiple interventions enhanced SWCmost in all Kebeles. Furthermore, increasing the commitment of local government through capacity building generated most e ect and yet required the lowest investment. Motivating farmers, introducing alternative livelihood opportunities and establishing and strengtheningmicro-watershed associations had limited, but di erential influence on the outcomes across the Kebeles. However, all alternative scenarios had someadded value compared todoingbusiness as usual. Hence, in order to enhance the outcomes and sustainability of the ongoing CBWMprogram in the study area and other similar localities, it is crucial to pay much more attention to increasing the commitment of local government actors throughcapacity building. This empowers local government actors to (1) planandmoree iciently implement the program in consultation with other local actors, and (2) integrate locally sensitive need-based adaptation of the program.

中文翻译:

使用基于代理的建模来评估埃塞俄比亚 Boset 地区加强水土保持的情景

由于水土保持 (SWC) 结构的规划和实施不力,埃塞俄比亚正在进行的基于运动的流域管理 (CBWM) 计划的可持续性值得怀疑。本研究使用基于经验的、基于代理的模型来探索六种情景对 Boset 区三个 Kebeles(村庄)覆盖的土地面积以及 SWC 结构质量的影响。分析显示,综合多种干预措施可增强所有 Kebeles 的 SWCmost。此外,通过能力建设增加地方政府的承诺产生了最大的效果,但需要的投资最少。激励农民、引入替代生计机会以及建立和加强微型流域协会对整个 Kebeles 的结果的影响有限但不同。但是,与照常营业相比,所有替代方案都具有一定的附加价值。因此,为了提高研究区和其他类似地区正在进行的 CBWM 项目的成果和可持续性,必须更加重视通过能力建设增加地方政府参与者的承诺。这使地方政府行为者能够 (1) 与其他当地行为者协商规划并更有效地实施该计划,以及 (2) 整合基于当地敏感需求的计划适应。必须更加重视通过能力建设增加地方政府行为者的承诺。这使地方政府行为者能够 (1) 与其他当地行为者协商规划并更有效地实施该计划,以及 (2) 整合基于当地敏感需求的计划适应。必须更加重视通过能力建设增加地方政府行为者的承诺。这使地方政府行为者能够 (1) 与其他当地行为者协商规划并更有效地实施该计划,以及 (2) 整合基于当地敏感需求的计划适应。
更新日期:2021-01-01
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