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When Choosing Implies Losing: Does Flipping a Coin Increase Forfeiture Thoughts?
Collabra: Psychology ( IF 3.098 ) Pub Date : 2022-01-01 , DOI: 10.1525/collabra.33941
Mariela E. Jaffé 1 , Maria Douneva 2 , Rainer Greifeneder 3
Affiliation  

When individuals choose between two options, one strategy they can apply is flipping a coin. Individuals might follow the coin’s suggestion without further thought. Another possibility is that they take advantage of the change in perspective that the random and clear suggestion affords. We here hypothesize that a coin flip increases forfeiture thoughts by making it salient that choosing one option means forgoing the other. We further expect more forfeiture thoughts when the coin flip’s outcome is incongruent with existing preferences. We conducted two studies (total N = 310) and found evidence that a coin flip suggestion increases forfeiture thoughts compared to a control group without a suggestion. Moreover, we found some evidence that a coin flip suggestion that is incongruent (vs. congruent) with initial preferences increases forfeiture thoughts. Congruency (vs. incongruency) also results in stronger feelings of validation. We follow up on these findings by suggesting a preregistered study that investigates both forfeiture and acquisition thoughts as well as confidence as a downstream consequence of the change initiated by the coin flip. Results, however, do not show that receiving a suggestion (neither congruent or incongruent) impacts forfeiture or acquisition thoughts compared to a control condition. Receiving a congruent (vs. incongruent) suggestion, however, results in stronger feelings of validation. We discuss these different result patterns and potential directions for future research.

中文翻译:

选择意味着失败:抛硬币会增加没收的想法吗?

当个人在两个选项之间进行选择时,他们可以应用的一种策略是掷硬币。个人可能会不加思索地遵循硬币的建议。另一种可能性是,他们利用了随机而明确的建议所带来的视角变化。我们在这里假设抛硬币会增加没收的想法,因为选择一个选项意味着放弃另一个选项。当抛硬币的结果与现有偏好不一致时,我们进一步预计会有更多的没收想法。我们进行了两项研究(总 N = 310),并发现有证据表明,与没有建议的对照组相比,掷硬币的建议会增加没收的想法。此外,我们发现一些证据表明抛硬币的建议不一致(与 一致)与初始偏好会增加没收的想法。一致性(与不一致)也会导致更强烈的确认感。我们通过建议一项预先注册的研究来跟进这些发现,该研究调查了没收和收购的想法以及作为硬币翻转引发的变化的下游后果的信心。然而,结果并未表明与控制条件相比,接受建议(一致或不一致)会影响没收或收购想法。然而,接受一致(与不一致)的建议会导致更强烈的确认感。我们讨论了这些不同的结果模式和未来研究的潜在方向。我们通过建议一项预先注册的研究来跟进这些发现,该研究调查了没收和收购的想法以及作为硬币翻转引发的变化的下游后果的信心。然而,结果并未表明与控制条件相比,接受建议(一致或不一致)会影响没收或收购想法。然而,接受一致(与不一致)的建议会导致更强烈的确认感。我们讨论了这些不同的结果模式和未来研究的潜在方向。我们通过建议一项预先注册的研究来跟进这些发现,该研究调查了没收和收购的想法以及作为硬币翻转引发的变化的下游后果的信心。然而,结果并未表明与控制条件相比,接受建议(一致或不一致)会影响没收或收购想法。然而,接受一致(与不一致)的建议会导致更强烈的确认感。我们讨论了这些不同的结果模式和未来研究的潜在方向。与控制条件相比,不要表明收到建议(一致或不一致)会影响没收或收购想法。然而,接受一致(与不一致)的建议会导致更强烈的确认感。我们讨论了这些不同的结果模式和未来研究的潜在方向。与控制条件相比,不要表明收到建议(一致或不一致)会影响没收或收购想法。然而,接受一致(与不一致)的建议会导致更强烈的确认感。我们讨论了这些不同的结果模式和未来研究的潜在方向。
更新日期:2022-01-01
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