Many studies have been conducted about the presidential coattail effect in presidential democracies, but few have considered multiparty presidential elections. These few studies find that the effect does exist in multiparty presidential elections but their effect is unevenly distributed among the members of the party coalitions that nominate the presidential candidate. We follow these theoretical insights by presenting the case of Indonesia, the world’s largest multiparty presidential democracy. Using election result data and national survey data, including experimental surveys, we find that in Indonesia the size and direction of the presidential coattail effect depend on whether the party is a core or peripheral member of the coalition, its role in the coalition, and its size.

中文翻译：

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多党总统选举中的燕尾效应

关于总统民主制中的总统燕尾服效应已经进行了许多研究，但很少有人考虑多党总统选举。这些少数研究发现，多党总统选举中确实存在这种影响，但其影响在提名总统候选人的政党联盟成员中分布不均。我们通过介绍世界上最大的多党总统民主国家印度尼西亚的案例来遵循这些理论见解。使用选举结果数据和包括实验性调查在内的全国性调查数据，我们发现在印度尼西亚，总统燕尾效应的大小和方向取决于该党是联盟的核心成员还是边缘成员，它在联盟中的作用以及它在联盟中的作用。尺寸。