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Electoral Continuity and Change in South Korea since Democratization
Asian Survey ( IF 0.511 ) Pub Date : 2021-12-07 , DOI: 10.1525/as.2021.1519475
Jae Hyeok Shin , Hojun Lee , Suk Jae Hur

The literature on South Korean elections has shown that voters’ region, ideology, and generation shape their preferences at the polls. Few studies, however, have investigated the long-term effects of these variables or the difference in the effects of ideology and generation between regions. In this article, we generate theoretical expectations of Korean voters’ voting behavior, analyzing cleavage structures in the party system since democratization, and we then examine the interactive effects of region with ideology and generation across voters from Gyeongsang and Jeolla, in six presidential elections from 1992 to 2017. We find that ideology and generation have stronger effects among Gyeongsang voters than among Jeolla voters. To be specific, ideology and generation often divide Gyeongsang voters, especially when the Democratic Party nominates a presidential candidate from Gyeongsang; Jeolla voters are more homogeneous in their support for the party, regardless of their ideology and generation.

中文翻译:

韩国民主化以来的选举连续性和变化

有关韩国选举的文献表明,选民的地区、意识形态和世代塑造了他们在民意调查中的偏好。然而,很少有研究调查这些变量的长期影响或地区之间意识形态和世代影响的差异。在本文中,我们生成了对韩国选民投票行为的理论预期,分析了民主化以来政党制度中的分裂结构,然后我们研究了在 6 次总统选举中,庆尚和全罗选民之间地区与意识形态和世代的互动效应。 1992 年至 2017 年。我们发现,意识形态和世代对庆尚选民的影响比在全罗选民中的影响更大。具体来说,意识形态和世代经常分裂庆尚选民,特别是当民主党提名庆尚的总统候选人时;全罗选民对党的支持更加同质化,无论他们的意识形态和世代如何。
更新日期:2021-12-07
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