A country’s preparedness to face crises is a multidimensional competence that depends on several attributes (economic factors, governance features, infrastructure and institutional endowments). This paper proposes a new approach to rank countries based on their degree of preparedness to deal with large-scale crises. The measured characteristics of countries have made it possible to compile an index of preparedness to face shocks and, therefore, predict their performance against the COVID-19 health crisis to verify the relevance of the proposed composite index. Fortunately, it appears that countries with a high degree of preparedness according to our aggregate index were able to respond adequately and effectively to this crisis. This is reflected in a lower mortality rate and more administered tests.

一个国家应对危机的准备是一种多维能力，取决于几个属性（经济因素、治理特征、基础设施和制度禀赋）。本文提出了一种根据国家应对大规模危机的准备程度对国家进行排名的新方法。各国的测量特征使得编制应对冲击的准备指数成为可能，因此可以预测其应对 COVID-19 健康危机的表现，以验证拟议综合指数的相关性。幸运的是，根据我们的综合指数，准备程度高的国家似乎能够充分有效地应对这场危机。这反映在较低的死亡率和更多的测试中。