A more anticipatory, pre-agreed response is a shared goal of many in the disaster management and humanitarian communities. This paper considers the emerging policy landscape of disaster risk financing (DRF), which is taken here to include mechanisms that allow agencies to act in advance of disasters occurring, as well as those that aim to respond earlier to disasters which have already happened. What they both have in common is no longer waiting for needs to become apparent before responding; however, this creates a challenge for practitioners because of the potential for acting erroneously. This paper provides a more cohesive way of understanding approaches in this policy area through the shared challenge of decision-making under the condition of uncertainty. Drawing on expert interviews and science and technology studies theory, it sets out some recommendations on how practitioners can navigate risk and uncertainty better within DRF and in a more nuanced way.

中文翻译：

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灾害风险融资的政策格局和挑战：驾驭风险和不确定性

更具预见性、预先商定的响应是许多灾害管理和人道主义社区的共同目标。本文考虑了灾害风险融资 (DRF) 的新兴政策格局，此处包括允许机构在灾害发生前采取行动的机制，以及旨在及早应对已经发生的灾害的机制。他们的共同点是不再等待需求变得明显再做出回应；然而，这给从业者带来了挑战，因为可能会出现错误行为。本文通过在不确定条件下决策制定的共同挑战，提供了一种更有凝聚力的方式来理解该政策领域的方法。借鉴专家访谈和科技研究理论，