ABSTRACT

Over the past decade, various normative frameworks that aim to promote more responsible governance of research and innovation in terms of better aligning with society's demands and expectations have emerged. Among the common aspects of these normative frameworks and proposals is the reliance on foresight and/or anticipation as a key interventive dimension or instrument. The article reviews the main challenges to which anticipation has been explicitly or implicitly directed and the respective methodological approaches that have been associated with them. In doing so, the article diagnoses a fragmentation in the methodological treatment of the different challenges. Against this fragmentation, a multi-foresight methodology is proposed. The proposed methodology not only addresses the fragmentation problem by embracing the different challenges posed to foresight/anticipation for promoting more socio-politically responsible technoscientific and innovation practices, but also aims to minimise the uncritical reification of futures.

摘要

在过去的十年中，出现了各种旨在促进更负责任的研究和创新治理、更好地满足社会需求和期望的规范框架。这些规范框架和提案的共同点之一是依赖远见和/或预期作为关键的干预维度或工具。本文回顾了预期明确或隐含地面临的主要挑战以及与之相关的相应方法论。在此过程中，本文诊断了不同挑战的方法论处理的碎片化。针对这种碎片化，提出了一种多预见方法。