ABSTRACT

Turkish-European Union (EU) relations in the broader context of the transatlantic alliance have been one of the defining features of Turkish foreign policy in the post-war era. The article identifies elements of the cyclical nature of the relationship and missed opportunities, notably in the 1970s and the early 2000s, which have been costly both to Turkey and the EU. Domestic politics and crises both in Turkey and the EU have played an important role in shaping the long-term dynamics of this complex and mutually important relationship. The emerging post-Western order has contributed to the decline and recent stalemate in Turkey-EU relations. The article probes into the possibilities of a revival in Turkey-EU relations and consider whether the Russian war against Ukraine will create a new opportunity for a revival of the relationship as part of a new wave of enlargement, which was not on the agenda previously.

摘要

在跨大西洋联盟的更广泛背景下，土耳其与欧盟的关系一直是战后土耳其外交政策的决定性特征之一。文章指出了两国关系的周期性因素以及错失的机会，特别是在 2000 年代初和 20 世纪 70 年代，这对土耳其和欧盟都造成了高昂的代价。土耳其和欧盟的国内政治和危机在塑造这一复杂且相互重要的关系的长期动态方面发挥了重要作用。新兴的后西方秩序导致了土耳其与欧盟关系的衰落和最近的僵局。