Ocean use has always been risky because of uncertain and dramatic ocean conditions and modern businesses continue to experience risk due to environmental extremes. A changing physical environment due to anthropogenic climate change and increased frequency of extreme events such as marine heatwaves makes past experience less valuable. This risk can be reduced by utilising seasonal forecasts that provide early warning of climate events several months ahead of time. However, to benefit from a forecast, a marine business will need to be agile to respond to changing information and response options. We define a set of seven attributes that can influence and enhance this management agility; leadership, social expectations, signal strength, system manipulation, regulatory environment, market forces, and value of the operations. The management agility of different marine businesses in fisheries, aquaculture, and tourism can influence their ability to use seasonal forecast information effectively, and potentially modify the usual negative relationship between resilience and the frequency of the stress event, thus reducing the impact of extreme events. Engagement between forecast developers and marine users can also improve responses, while at the same time, improving the agility of businesses can enhance overall resilience to extreme events and lower their risk.

由于不确定和剧烈的海洋条件，海洋的使用一直存在风险，现代企业继续因极端环境而面临风险。由于人为气候变化和海洋热浪等极端事件频率增加而导致的物理环境不断变化，过去的经验变得不那么有价值。通过使用提前几个月提供气候事件早期预警的季节预报，可以降低这种风险。然而，为了从预测中获益，海事企业需要敏捷地响应不断变化的信息和响应选项。我们定义了一组可以影响和增强这种管理敏捷性的七个属性；领导力、社会期望、信号强度、系统操纵、监管环境、市场力量和运营价值。渔业、水产养殖和旅游业中不同海洋企业的管理敏捷性可以影响他们有效使用季节性预报信息的能力，并可能改变弹性与压力事件频率之间通常的负相关关系，从而减少极端事件的影响。预测开发人员和海洋用户之间的合作也可以改善响应，同时，提高企业的敏捷性可以增强对极端事件的整体恢复能力并降低风险。