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After the economic crisis of 2008: Economic conditions and crime in the last decade for the case of Spain
The American Journal of Economics and Sociology ( IF 1.103 ) Pub Date : 2023-03-13 , DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12505
Jonathan Torres‐Tellez 1, 2 , Alberto Montero Soler 3
Affiliation  

The economic approach to crime confirms that the deterioration of economic conditions influences the motivation of potential offenders to commit a crime or not. The relationship between crime and the economy status received considerable attention among the international literature. However, in Spain, there are just few studies that analyse this connection, and those that analyse the influence of the deterioration of the economy on crime after the crisis that began in 2008 are practically non-existent. In order to fill this gap, this research applies the difference-GMM estimator for a sample of 47 provinces during the 2010–2018 period and controls the influence of different economic, demographic and dissuasive factors on the crime rate. The results obtained are similar to those of different investigations, since in the face of worsening economic conditions, no evidence of a positive and uniform effect on the crime rate is detected, especially when it differs according to different types of crimes possible. However, that relationship does exist and is robust in property crimes. Another common result in the empirical literature is also confirmed: adolescent male cohorts present the highest crime rates.

中文翻译:

2008 年经济危机后:西班牙过去十年的经济状况和犯罪

犯罪的经济方法证实,经济状况的恶化会影响潜在犯罪者犯罪的动机。犯罪与经济状况之间的关系在国际文献中受到相当多的关注。然而,在西班牙,分析这种联系的研究很少,而分析 2008 年危机后经济恶化对犯罪影响的研究几乎不存在。为了填补这一空白,本研究对 2010-2018 年期间 47 个省份的样本应用差分 GMM 估计,并控制不同的经济、人口和劝阻因素对犯罪率的影响。得到的结果与不同调查的结果相似,由于面对不断恶化的经济状况,没有证据表明对犯罪率有积极和统一的影响,特别是当它因可能的不同类型的犯罪而有所不同时。然而,这种关系确实存在,并且在财产犯罪中非常稳固。实证文献中的另一个共同结果也得到证实:青春期男性群体的犯罪率最高。
更新日期:2023-03-13
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