Abstract

Why did some countries decline to condemn Russia’s invasion of Ukraine at the United Nations General Assembly’s first emergency session since 1997? Our research investigates the various economic, military, political, geographic, and historical factors that may have influenced the voting behavior of these countries in favor of Russia. Our Probit regressions reveal that the probability of voting in favor of Russia is significantly and robustly higher in countries that have defense cooperation agreements with Russia, have a longer history of leftist governments, are major recipients of Russian aid, have political similarities with Russia, and have no history of war with the Soviet Union.

摘要

为什么一些国家在1997年以来的首次联合国大会紧急会议上拒绝谴责俄罗斯入侵乌克兰？我们的研究调查了可能影响这些国家支持俄罗斯的投票行为的各种经济、军事、政治、地理和历史因素。我们的 Probit 回归表明，在与俄罗斯有国防合作协议、左翼政府历史较长、是俄罗斯援助的主要接受者、与俄罗斯具有政治相似性以及没有与苏联交战的历史。