Simulations of future climate indicate that the Mediterranean countries will see increasing temperatures, and decreasing precipitation. In Türkiye, which has a semi-arid and dry sub-humid climate, the coupled effect of warming and drought is expected to lead to a general increase in aridity. We applied indices derived from satellite data to provide continuous monitoring for drought hazards and evaluated recent trends in aridification and drought. Annual averaged temperatures showed a statistically significant rise, although annual rainfall showed no nationwide trend despite strong fluctuations over Türkiye. Significant increasing (decreasing) trends of vegetation (aridification) could be found in the northern, western, and southern regions, despite the rising temperatures and fluctuations in rainfall. One cause of these trends is presumed to be an increase in the nation's proportion of forest, orchard trees, and irrigated farmland. Although decreasing trend of aridification over Türkiye, drought has recurred throughout the 22-year study period in the central and eastern regions. These areas in which the annual averaged satellite-based aridity index exceeds a threshold value correspond closely to regions vulnerable to drought. Satellite-based indices may show particular promise for the major agricultural or pasture areas in central and eastern Türkiye, which are at heightened risk of future drought.

对未来气候的模拟表明，地中海国家的气温将升高，降水将减少。在拥有半干旱和亚湿润干燥气候的土耳其，预计变暖和干旱的耦合效应将导致干旱普遍加剧。我们应用源自卫星数据的指数来持续监测干旱危害，并评估干旱化和干旱的近期趋势。年平均气温在统计上显示出显着上升，尽管年降雨量没有显示全国趋势，尽管 Türkiye 的波动很大。尽管气温上升和降雨量波动，但北部、西部和南部地区的植被（干旱化）趋势显着增加（减少）。据推测，造成这些趋势的原因之一是全国森林、果园和灌溉农田比例的增加。尽管 Türkiye 的干旱化趋势有所减弱，但在整个 22 年的研究期间，中部和东部地区的干旱反复出现。这些基于卫星的年平均干旱指数超过阈值的地区与易受干旱影响的地区密切相关。基于卫星的指数可能对土耳其中部和东部的主要农业或牧场地区显示出特别的希望，这些地区未来干旱的风险更高。这些基于卫星的年平均干旱指数超过阈值的地区与易受干旱影响的地区密切相关。基于卫星的指数可能对土耳其中部和东部的主要农业或牧场地区显示出特别的希望，这些地区未来干旱的风险更高。这些基于卫星的年平均干旱指数超过阈值的地区与易受干旱影响的地区密切相关。基于卫星的指数可能对土耳其中部和东部的主要农业或牧场地区显示出特别的希望，这些地区未来干旱的风险更高。