Our last emerging trend article introduced Risks 1.0 (fairness and bias) and Risks 2.0 (addictive, dangerous, deadly, and insanely profitable). This article introduces Risks 3.0 (spyware and cyber weapons). Risks 3.0 are less profitable, but more destructive. We will summarize two recent books, Pegasus: How a Spy in Your Pocket Threatens the End of Privacy, Dignity, and Democracy and This is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race. The first book starts with a leak of 50,000 phone numbers, targeted by spyware named Pegasus. Pegasus uses a zero-click exploit to obtain root access to your phone, taking control of the microphone, camera, GPS, text messages, etc. The list of 50,000 numbers includes journalists, politicians, and academics, as well as their friends and family. Some of these people have been murdered. The second book describes the history of cyber weapons such as Stuxnet, which is described as crossing the Rubicon. In the short term, it sets back Iran’s nuclear program for less than the cost of conventional weapons, but it did not take long for Iran to build the fourth-biggest cyber army in the world. As spyware continues to proliferate, we envision a future dystopia where everyone spies on everyone. Nothing will be safe from hacking: not your identity, or your secrets, or your passwords, or your bank accounts. When the endpoints (phones) have been compromised, technologies such as end-to-end encryption and multi-factor authentication offer a false sense of security; encryption and authentication are as pointless as closing the proverbial barn door after the fact. To address Risks 3.0, journalists are using the tools of their trade to raise awareness in the court of public opinion. We should do what we can to support them. This paper is a small step in that direction.

中文翻译：

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新兴趋势：风险 3.0 和间谍软件扩散到 50,000 部手机

我们上一篇新兴趋势文章介绍了风险 1.0（公平和偏见）和风险 2.0（上瘾、危险、致命和疯狂获利）。本文介绍 Risks 3.0（间谍软件和网络武器）。风险 3.0 的盈利能力较低，但破坏性更大。我们将总结最近的两本书，飞马座：你口袋里的间谍如何威胁隐私、尊严和民主的终结和他们是这样告诉我世界末日的：网络武器军备竞赛. 第一本书以 50,000 个电话号码的泄漏开始，这些电话号码是名为 Pegasus 的间谍软件的目标。Pegasus 使用零点击漏洞获取手机的 root 访问权限，控制麦克风、摄像头、GPS、短信等。50,000 个号码的列表包括记者、政治家和学者，以及他们的朋友和家人. 其中一些人已被谋杀。第二本书描述了Stuxnet等网络武器的历史，被描述为跨越卢比孔河。短期内，它以低于常规武器成本的成本挫败了伊朗的核计划，但没过多久，伊朗就建立了世界第四大网络军队。随着间谍软件的不断扩散，我们设想未来的反乌托邦是每个人都在监视每个人。没有什么可以免受黑客攻击：不是你的身份，或者你的秘密，或者你的密码，或者你的银行账户。当端点（电话）受到威胁时，端到端加密和多因素身份验证等技术会提供一种错误的安全感；加密和身份验证就像事后关上众所周知的谷仓门一样毫无意义。为了应对风险 3.0，记者正在使用他们的行业工具来提高公众舆论意识。我们应该尽我们所能支持他们。本文是朝着这个方向迈出的一小步。记者正在使用他们的行业工具来提高公众舆论的认识。我们应该尽我们所能支持他们。本文是朝着这个方向迈出的一小步。记者正在使用他们的行业工具来提高公众舆论的认识。我们应该尽我们所能支持他们。本文是朝着这个方向迈出的一小步。