To what extent does local LGBT+ activism have impacts beyond its immediate surroundings? We offer a theoretical framework emphasizing how a combination of local movement visibility and LGBT+ cultural receptivity can account for disseminating influences of LGBT+ activism. We illustrate our framework in part through an analysis of the potential diffusion of LGBT+ support in Bosnia in the aftermath of the country’s first-ever Pride. Our model explains why the 2019 Sarajevo Pride increased LGBT+ support locally but had no immediate effects on attitudes in greater Bosnia. It also explains why LGBT+ support has since expanded beyond the capital to Bosnia’s surrounding regions in a follow-up 2021 study. Even when local LGBT+ visibility is low or nonexistent, underlying cultural receptivity can be conducive to the gradual diffusion of LGBT+ support. Moreover, the challenging circumstances of the pandemic did not undermine the expansion of LGBT+ tolerance across Bosnia. Our findings illustrate the persistent power as well as limitations of LGBT+ activism to usher in downstream cultural change.

中文翻译：

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理论化 LGBT+ 激进主义的潜在下游文化后果

当地的 LGBT+ 激进主义在多大程度上产生了超出其周围环境的影响？我们提供了一个理论框架，强调当地运动的知名度和 LGBT+ 文化接受度的结合如何解释 LGBT+ 行动主义的传播影响。我们通过分析该国有史以来第一次骄傲之后 LGBT+ 支持在波斯尼亚的潜在扩散来部分说明我们的框架。我们的模型解释了为什么 2019 年萨拉热窝骄傲在当地增加了对 LGBT+ 的支持，但对大波斯尼亚地区的态度没有立即影响。这也解释了为什么 LGBT+ 支持在 2021 年的后续研究中从首都扩展到波斯尼亚周边地区。即使当地的 LGBT+ 知名度很低或不存在，潜在的文化接受度也有利于 LGBT+ 支持的逐渐传播。此外，大流行病的严峻形势并未破坏波斯尼亚 LGBT+ 宽容度的扩大。我们的研究结果说明了 LGBT+ 激进主义在引领下游文化变革方面的持久力量和局限性。