当前位置: X-MOL 学术Global Social Welfare › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Monitoring the Past and Future Trends of Urban Thermal Comfort Conditions Through a New Methodology
Global Social Welfare Pub Date : 2023-05-25 , DOI: 10.1007/s40609-023-00290-x
Savaş Çağlak , Muhammet Bahadir , Süleyman Toy

Human thermal comfort representing the satisfaction of mind with ambient air conditions has significant effects on socioeconomic activities. Climate change is affecting thermal comfort conditions (TCCs) negatively. Therefore, it is important to estimate their past and future trends to take accurate measures for mitigation and adaptation efforts in especially urban areas. However, it is difficult to calculate TCCs for the future since they are the combined effect of several meteorological parameters on a person outdoor together with her/his own physiological characteristics, which must be evaluated individually. This study is aimed at determining the TCCs trends in the past compared to the present whilst estimating the future conditions using a new methodology in the case of Kayseri city in the Interior Anatolia Region of Turkey. As the result of the study, all the change trends considering temporal and spatial results show that thermal comfort conditions signal warmer and higher heat stress in the past and future trends. This means human thermal sensation ranges (e.g., very cold) have replaced with the next warmer range, and their spatial distribution in percentage has also changed towards warmer. Increase in the prevalence of unfavourable thermal comfort conditions causes the decrease in the liveability indicators in especially urban areas, including serious economic loses based on energy consumption, health care expenses, and efficiency of activities. It is required that both past and expected future trends be considered in the planning and design works to make cities resilient and have higher adaptive capacity to climate change.



中文翻译:

通过新方法监测城市热舒适条件的过去和未来趋势

代表心灵对环境空气条件满意度的人体热舒适度对社会经济活动具有显着影响。气候变化正在对热舒适条件 (TCC) 产生负面影响。因此,重要的是要估计它们过去和未来的趋势,以便在特别是城市地区采取准确的缓解和适应措施。然而,很难计算未来的 TCC,因为它们是几个气象参数对户外人员的综合影响以及她/他自己的生理特征,必须单独评估。本研究旨在确定过去与现在相比的 TCC 趋势,同时以土耳其内陆安纳托利亚地区的开塞利市为例,使用新方法估计未来状况。作为研究的结果,考虑时间和空间结果的所有变化趋势表明,热舒适条件在过去和未来趋势中预示着更温暖和更高的热应力。这意味着人类的热感觉范围(例如,非常冷)已被下一个较暖的范围所取代,并且它们的空间分布百分比也已向较暖的方向变化。不利的热舒适条件的普遍性增加导致宜居性指标下降,尤其是城市地区,包括基于能源消耗、医疗保健费用和活动效率的严重经济损失。要求在规划和设计工作中考虑过去和预期的未来趋势,使城市具有韧性和更高的气候变化适应能力。考虑时间和空间结果的所有变化趋势表明,热舒适条件在过去和未来趋势中预示着更温暖和更高的热应力。这意味着人类的热感觉范围(例如,非常冷)已被下一个较暖的范围所取代,并且它们的空间分布百分比也已向较暖的方向变化。不利的热舒适条件的普遍性增加导致宜居性指标下降,尤其是城市地区,包括基于能源消耗、医疗保健费用和活动效率的严重经济损失。要求在规划和设计工作中考虑过去和预期的未来趋势,使城市具有韧性和更高的气候变化适应能力。考虑时间和空间结果的所有变化趋势表明,热舒适条件在过去和未来趋势中预示着更温暖和更高的热应力。这意味着人类的热感觉范围(例如,非常冷)已被下一个较暖的范围所取代,并且它们的空间分布百分比也已向较暖的方向变化。不利的热舒适条件的普遍性增加导致宜居性指标下降,尤其是城市地区,包括基于能源消耗、医疗保健费用和活动效率的严重经济损失。要求在规划和设计工作中考虑过去和预期的未来趋势,使城市具有韧性和更高的气候变化适应能力。

更新日期:2023-05-25
down
wechat
bug