Objectives

Evaluate the effects that Prudential Center events had on crime in downtown Newark from 2007 to 2015 in terms of incident counts and spatial characteristics.

Methods

We evaluate the effects of events held at the Prudential Center on crime counts via negative binomial regression. Through the Fasano-Franceschini test, we assess whether crimes that occurred during events spatially differ compared to the incidents in no-event hours. Finally, we employ logistic regression to assess the correlation between crime locations and activity at the center.

Results

Five event types (out of nine) are statistically associated with increases in crime. Spatially, differences in the distribution of incidents when the facility is active partially emerge. Two out of six location types (streets and parking lots) correlate with activity at the center.

Conclusions

The complex array of crime-related effects that the center has on downtown Newark suggests tailored policies discriminating between event and location types for enhancing public safety.

中文翻译：

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关于保诚中心对纽瓦克市中心犯罪影响的证据

目标

根据事件计数和空间特征，评估 2007 年至 2015 年保诚中心事件对纽瓦克市中心犯罪的影响。

方法

我们通过负二项回归评估在保德信中心举办的活动对犯罪数量的影响。通过 Fasano-Franceschini 测试，我们评估事件期间发生的犯罪与非事件时间发生的事件相比在空间上是否存在差异。最后，我们采用逻辑回归来评估犯罪地点与中心活动之间的相关性。

结果

五种事件类型（九种中的一种）在统计上与犯罪增加有关。在空间上，当设施处于活动状态时，事件分布的差异会部分出现。六种位置类型（街道和停车场）中的两种与中心的活动相关。

结论

该中心对纽瓦克市中心产生的一系列复杂的犯罪相关影响建议制定针对性的政策，区分事件和地点类型，以加强公共安全。