ABSTRACT

In recent years, Germany has taken in large numbers of immigrants. We look at the places where those migrants have settled in German cities. Our focus is on their socio-spatial distribution: To what extent is the social structure of neighbourhoods associated with the influx of migrants into those neighbourhoods? Our analysis draws on data on 86 large and medium-sized German cities with a total of 3770 neighbourhoods. Using linear (multi-level) regression models, we analyze the relation between the evolution of the proportion of foreigners in these neighbourhoods between 2014 and 2017 and the neighbourhoods’ social structure in 2014. We find that the proportion of foreigners has increased much more strongly in the most socially disadvantaged neighbourhoods – especially in East Germany. A detailed examination of the individual cities reveals pronounced geographical disparities. The differences between the cities may be partially explained by vacancy rates and municipal tax revenues.

摘要

近年来，德国吸纳了大量移民。我们看看这些移民在德国城市定居的地方。我们的重点是他们的社会空间分布：社区的社会结构在多大程度上与移民涌入这些社区相关？我们的分析借鉴了德国 86 个大中型城市、总共 3770 个街区的数据。使用线性（多级）回归模型，我们分析了2014年至2017年这些社区中外国人比例的演变与2014年社区社会结构之间的关系。我们发现外国人比例的增长更为强劲。在社会最弱势的社区——尤其是在东德。对各个城市的详细研究揭示了明显的地理差异。城市之间的差异可能部分由空置率和市政税收收入来解释。