ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the economic interventions of the United States, Mexico and Canada that share historical interactions within a free trade agreement (USMCA), formerly known as NAFTA, during the financial crisis of 2008–2009 using time-series analysis. First, we explain the context and dealt with USMCA. Then, the interrupted time series (ITS) methodology is applied in evaluating government economic intervention. Third, a discussion of findings is presented showing as well as how the evaluation stands next to similar studies. Finally, further research is important in evaluating government economy-based interventions for future case scenarios are suggested.

摘要

本研究的目的是使用时间序列分析来评估美国、墨西哥和加拿大在 2008 年至 2009 年金融危机期间在自由贸易协定 (USMCA)（以前称为 NAFTA）内的历史互动的经济干预措施。首先，我们解释一下背景并讨论 USMCA。然后，应用中断时间序列（ITS）方法来评估政府经济干预。第三，对研究结果进行了讨论，展示了该评估与类似研究相比的情况。最后，建议进一步研究对于评估政府对未来案例情景的基于经济的干预措施非常重要。