The global populist backlash is considered threatening to the multilateral order, but its impact on individual attitudes toward international organizations, like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), is understudied. We bridge insights from research on the IMF and populism to develop a theoretical framework centered on three propositions. We argue that populist individuals should be more prone to blame the IMF for economic problems than non-populists, but that this effect is highly conditional on sovereignty intrusion, escalating when an IMF program exists and as the program becomes more onerous. In contrast, IMF scapegoating by populist politicians should be largely ineffective. Analyzing survey data from across the European Union and an original survey experiment in Greece, we find support for each contention. The paper advances understanding of the partisan politics of the IMF and shows that the implications of the populist wave for international order are more complex than often assumed.

中文翻译：

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主权入侵：民粹主义和对国际货币基金组织的态度

全球民粹主义的强烈抵制被认为对多边秩序构成威胁，但其对个人对国际货币基金组织（IMF）等国际组织态度的影响尚未得到充分研究。我们将国际货币基金组织和民粹主义研究的见解结合起来，开发出一个以三个命题为中心的理论框架。我们认为，民粹主义者应该比非民粹主义者更容易将经济问题归咎于国际货币基金组织，但这种影响很大程度上取决于主权侵犯，当国际货币基金组织计划存在且该计划变得更加繁重时，这种影响就会升级。相比之下，民粹主义政客将国际货币基金组织当作替罪羊应该基本上是无效的。通过分析整个欧盟的调查数据和希腊的原始调查实验，我们发现每个论点都得到了支持。该论文加深了人们对国际货币基金组织党派政治的理解，并表明民粹主义浪潮对国际秩序的影响比通常想象的更为复杂。