— In October 2022, the UK Supreme Court unanimously held that the Scottish Parliament lacks the power to legislate for a second referendum on Scottish independence (Indyref 2) absent an enabling Order by the UK government under section 30 of the Scotland Act 1998. With no such Order forthcoming, alternative pathways to Indyref 2 are being investigated. In this article, we examine two such potential pathways—a plebiscitary election and an unauthorised referendum—through the lens of constituent power. We argue that both pathways are theoretically available if one accepts (as we argue) that the Scottish people is the bearer of constituent power. However, we conclude that there are significant obstacles dotting both potential pathways, and as such the only feasible route to internationally recognised statehood for Scotland is via political negotiation.

中文翻译：

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如何（不）分裂：选民权力和苏格兰独立的替代途径

— 2022 年 10 月，英国最高法院一致裁定，如果英国政府没有根据 1998 年《苏格兰法案》第 30 条颁布授权令，苏格兰议会无权就苏格兰独立举行第二次公投 (Indyref 2) 进行立法。该命令即将出台，Indyref 2 的替代途径正在研究中。在本文中，我们从制宪权力的角度研究了两种潜在的途径——公民投票和未经授权的公投。我们认为，如果人们接受（正如我们所主张的）苏格兰人民是制宪权力的持有者，那么这两种途径在理论上都是可行的。然而，我们的结论是，这两条潜在途径都存在重大障碍，因此苏格兰获得国际承认的国家地位的唯一可行途径是通过政治谈判。