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Nature dependence and seasonality change perceptions for climate adaptation and mitigation
Economic Analysis and Policy ( IF 4.444 ) Pub Date : 2023-11-14 , DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2023.11.001
Moinul Islam , Koji Kotani , Shunsuke Managi

Global climate change is a scientifically demonstrated phenomenon, but there are discrepancies in societies about how people perceive it. People’s correct perceptions to climate change are necessary for their cooperative acts and behaviors toward adaptation and mitigation. While most research in this regard focuses on temporal trends of specific climate variables, e.g., temperature and rainfall, in relation to socio-demographic factors, few reports have systematically examined who perceive a change in climatic regularity and patterns, i.e., seasonality change. We hypothesize that people tend to perceive the seasonality change as their life practices and experiences are dependent on climate and nature. Interviews with 7 experts and surveys with 1011 respondents were conducted in the Meghna basin, Bangladesh, where the number of seasons in an annual calendar is reported to have decreased from six to four (). With the data, this research investigates people’s perceptions to seasonality change in relation to life practices, experiences and socioeconomic factors. The analysis shows that dependence on natural resources in the profession along with experiences of natural disasters and life history in the dwelling locations shape people’s correct perceptions to climate seasonality. This result suggests that people are not likely to realize the seasonality change as they are dwelling in urban areas with high mobility or as their life is detached from climate and nature, being neither willing nor cooperative to take adaptation and mitigation.

中文翻译:

气候适应和减缓的自然依赖性和季节性变化认知

全球气候变化是一种经过科学证明的现象,但社会上人们对它的看法存在差异。人们对气候变化的正确认知是他们适应和减缓气候变化的合作行动和行为的必要条件。虽然这方面的大多数研究都集中在与社会人口因素相关的特定气候变量(例如温度和降雨量)的时间趋势上,但很少有报告系统地研究谁感知到气候规律和模式的变化,即季节性变化。我们假设人们倾向于感知季节性​​变化,因为他们的生活实践和经历取决于气候和自然。对 7 名专家的采访和对 1011 名受访者的调查是在孟加拉国梅格纳盆地进行的,据报道,该地区年历中的季节数量从 6 个减少到了 4 个 ()。这项研究利用这些数据调查了人们对与生活实践、经历和社会经济因素相关的季节性变化的看法。分析表明,职业对自然资源的依赖、自然灾害的经历和居住地的生活史塑造了人们对气候季节性的正确认知。这一结果表明,人们不太可能意识到季节性变化,因为他们居住在流动性较高的城市地区,或者他们的生活与气候和自然脱节,既不愿意也不合作采取适应和减缓措施。
更新日期:2023-11-14
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