High-resolution models have brought about capabilities in forecasting that could barely have been envisaged decades ago. The same advances in computer power and atmospheric science that enabled successful high-resolution modelling have also led to useful forecasts further into the medium range and beyond. However, there remain problems forecasting at very short range, in particular concerning convection, for which new products and techniques are being trialled at the Met Office. We examine how these latest developments present the forecaster not only with exciting opportunities, but also fresh challenges, in particular, interpreting the plethora of output now available, whilst adhering to tight operational deadlines.

中文翻译：

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英国天气预报的历史：中央指导预报员角色的变化。第 8 部分：二十一世纪的业务预报：从临近预报到扩展范围的增强能力

高分辨率模型带来了几十年前几乎无法想象的预测能力。计算机能力和大气科学的进步使得成功的高分辨率建模成为可能，也导致了对中范围及更远范围的有用预测。然而，极短程预报仍然存在问题，特别是对流预报，英国气象局正在为此试用新产品和技术。我们研究这些最新发展如何不仅为预报员带来令人兴奋的机遇，而且带来新的挑战，特别是解释现有的大量产出，同时遵守严格的运营期限。