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What influences intentions to offend? A systematic review and meta-analysis on the factors associated with the deterrence of drink-driving
Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour ( IF 4.349 ) Pub Date : 2023-11-27 , DOI: 10.1016/j.trf.2023.11.015
Steven Love , Grégoire S. Larue , Bevan Rowland , Jeremy Davey

Drink driving is a dangerous behaviour that has severe implications for road safety. Despite decades of deterrence initiatives, drink driving remains relatively prevalent, suggesting there may be limitations within current theories used to explain the process of deterrence. In response, this study aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis on what factors are associated with drink driving intentions (DDI). Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, a literature search was performed on six databases. Studies which met the inclusion criteria were correlational by design, contained a variable relating to DDI, and used generalised samples. After an initial screening process, 19 publications met the criteria for the review and 12 for the analyses. The findings showed that the theory of planned behaviour (i.e., attitudes, subjective norms, and behavioural control) sufficiently explained DDI, however, deterrence theory (i.e., risk perceptions), which was notably under-researched, revealed more ambiguous relations to DDI. Experiences with offending and avoidance were also shown to be judicious predictors of DDI, although personal punishment appeared to have a negligible impact, potentially due to the attitude of the offender toward sanctions or the low likelihood of occurrence. The review also highlighted several limitations in the current literature. Firstly, further investigation surrounding the dynamics that underlie risk perceptions of drink-driving is required to reduce the current theoretical ambiguity. Secondly, standardised approaches are needed so that research in this area is more valid and comparable. Finally, researchers may consider operating under an integrated and more comprehensive framework, as there is considerable theoretical overlap between current prominent models of offending, and such approaches will better contextualise individual variables.



中文翻译:

什么会影响冒犯的意图?酒驾威慑因素的系统回顾与荟萃分析

酒后驾驶是一种危险行为,对道路安全具有严重影响。尽管威慑举措已经实施了数十年,但酒后驾驶仍然相对普遍,这表明当前用于解释威慑过程的理论可能存在局限性。为此,本研究旨在对哪些因素与酒后驾驶意图(DDI)相关进行系统回顾和荟萃分析。使用系统评价的首选报告项目和荟萃分析指南,对六个数据库进行了文献检索。符合纳入标准的研究在设计上是相关的,包含与 DDI 相关的变量,并使用广义样本。经过初步筛选过程后,19 篇出版物符合审查标准,12 篇出版物符合分析标准。研究结果表明,计划行为理论(即态度、主观规范和行为控制)充分解释了DDI,然而,威慑理论(即风险认知)的研究明显不足,揭示了与DDI的更模糊的关系。犯罪和回避的经历也被证明是 DDI 的明智预测因素,尽管个人惩罚的影响似乎可以忽略不计,这可能是由于犯罪者对制裁的态度或发生的可能性较低。该评论还强调了当前文献中的一些局限性。首先,需要围绕酒后驾驶风险认知的动态进行进一步调查,以减少当前理论的模糊性。其次,需要标准化方法,以使该领域的研究更加有效和可比。最后,研究人员可能会考虑在一个综合的、更全面的框架下进行操作,因为当前主要的犯罪模型之间存在相当大的理论重叠,并且这种方法将更好地将个体变量置于背景中。

更新日期:2023-11-28
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