Modeling the impact of COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on respiratory syncytial virus transmission in South Africa,Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses

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Modeling the impact of COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on respiratory syncytial virus transmission in South Africa
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses ( IF 4.4 ) Pub Date : 2023-12-10 , DOI: 10.1111/irv.13229
Samantha J. Bents ₁ , Cécile Viboud ₁ , Bryan T. Grenfell ₂ , Alexandra B. Hogan ₃ , Stefano Tempia _{4,

5} , Anne von Gottberg _{4,

6,

7} , Jocelyn Moyes _{4,

5} , Sibongile Walaza _{4,

5} , Chelsea Hansen _{1,

8,

9} , Cheryl Cohen _{4,

5} , Rachel E. Baker ₁₀

Affiliation

Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health Bethesda Maryland USA
Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Princeton University Princeton New Jersey USA
School of Population Health University of New South Wales Sydney New South Wales Australia
Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service Johannesburg South Africa
School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences University of Witwatersrand Johannesburg South Africa
School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences University of Witwatersrand Johannesburg South Africa
Department of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences University of Cape Town Cape Town South Africa
Brotman Baty Institute University of Washington Seattle Washington USA
PandemiX Center, Department of Science & Environment Roskilde University Roskilde Denmark
School of Public Health Brown University Providence Rhode Island USA

The South African government employed various nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Surveillance data from South Africa indicates reduced circulation of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) throughout the 2020–2021 seasons. Here, we use a mechanistic transmission model to project the rebound of RSV in the two subsequent seasons.

中文翻译：

模拟 COVID-19 非药物干预措施对南非呼吸道合胞病毒传播的影响

南非政府采用各种非药物干预措施 (NPI) 来减少 SARS-CoV-2 的传播。南非的监测数据表明，2020-2021 年季节呼吸道合胞病毒 (RSV) 的传播有所减少。在这里，我们使用机械传动模型来预测 RSV 在随后两个季节的反弹。

更新日期：2023-12-11

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