Purpose

While risk instruments are consistently used to aid classification and supervision decisions, needs assessments guide intervention efforts for individuals under supervision. At the core of the Risk-Needs-Responsivity (RNR) model and the General Personality and Cognitive Social Learning (GPCSL) theory, dynamic needs scoring allows agencies to identify change in needs over time. Yet, few studies have assessed the potential impact of changes among needs items. To overcome this limitation, the current study assesses how needs score change may influence recidivism propensity among youth.

Methods

Using multi-level frailty models, the current study examines how changes in youth needs assessment scores influence time-to-recidivism among a large (N = 42,922), multi-state sample of justice-involved youth assessed with the Modified Positive Achievement Change Tool (MPACT).

Results

Findings demonstrate that youth with increased needs scores and those that remained the same at reassessment had a greater propensity for recidivism, compared to those that decreased scores.

Conclusions

Policy implications identify the effectiveness of the MPACT in measuring youth change, its utility for case management, and the needs domains most associated with recidivism reductions.

中文翻译：

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及时找到答案：及时评估参与正义的青少年累犯的需求分数变化

目的

虽然风险工具始终用于帮助分类和监督决策，但需求评估指导对受监督个人的干预工作。作为风险-需求-响应 (RNR) 模型和一般人格和认知社会学习 (GPCSL) 理论的核心，动态需求评分使机构能够识别需求随时间的变化。然而，很少有研究评估需求项目变化的潜在影响。为了克服这一限制，当前的研究评估了需求分数的变化如何影响青少年的累犯倾向。

方法

本研究使用多级脆弱模型，探讨了青年需求评估分数的变化如何影响大量（N  = 42,922）、多州参与司法的青年样本的累犯时间，并使用改良的积极成就改变工具进行评估（影响力）。

结果

调查结果表明，与分数下降的青少年相比，需求分数增加的青少年和重新评估时保持不变的青少年更有可能再次犯罪。

结论

政策影响确定了 MPACT 在衡量青少年变化方面的有效性、其对案件管理的效用以及与减少累犯最相关的需求领域。