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The Impact of Energy on Climate and Economic Stability: Forecast for Serbia
Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice Pub Date : 2024-01-13 , DOI: 10.2478/jcbtp-2024-0009
Nemanja Backović 1 , Miomir Jakšić 2 , Bojan Ilić 3
Affiliation  

In the conditions of modern business environment of energy companies, studies of their impact on environmental protection are becoming increasingly important. The growing concern at the macro level of the resulting climate change due to energy production is justified. The ecological component in the business of energy entities is becoming a priority for the sustainable development of energy, and therefore must be thoroughly examined. The focus of this paper is to determine the impact of energy on climate change through the emission of Greenhouse Gases on the example of the Republic of Serbia. The paper also examines the long-term interdependence between key economic and energy indicators at the national level. The IPAT/Kaya identity was used for research purposes and three alternative scenarios of energy development in Serbia until year 2050 were developed. The obtained results point to different possibilities for the development of energy and its impact on climate. The importance of promoting renewable energy sources for environmental protection and overall economic stability is also pointed out through proposed alternative scenarios. Significant results were obtained for the predicted level of energy intensity for the observed period, suggesting how the development of energy in Serbia could affect economic stability until 2050.

中文翻译:

能源对气候和经济稳定的影响:塞尔维亚预测

在能源公司现代商业环境条件下,研究其对环境保护的影响变得越来越重要。人们对能源生产导致的气候变化在宏观层面日益担忧是有道理的。能源实体业务中的生态成分正在成为能源可持续发展的优先事项,因此必须进行彻底审查。本文的重点是通过塞尔维亚共和国的温室气体排放来确定能源对气候变化的影响。本文还探讨了国家层面关键经济指标和能源指标之间的长期相互依赖性。IPAT/Kaya 身份用于研究目的,并制定了到 2050 年塞尔维亚能源发展的三种替代方案。获得的结果指出了能源发展及其对气候影响的不同可能性。还通过提出的替代方案指出了推广可再生能源对于环境保护和整体经济稳定的重要性。对于观测期间的能源强度预测水平获得了显着结果,表明塞尔维亚的能源发展将如何影响 2050 年之前的经济稳定。
更新日期:2024-01-13
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