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Supporting African Union: Do Macroeconomic Fluctuations matter?
Economic Systems ( IF 2.310 ) Pub Date : 2024-01-18 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101186
Samba Diop , Simplice A. Asongu , Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye

In this paper, we contribute empirically to the debate on the legitimacy of the African Union by exploring the question on whether individual opinions in support of African integration are sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations? For this purpose, we use the 4th, 5th, 6th and 8thAfrobarometer survey data waves and a contextual logistic model. We find that an increase in GDP per capita is associated with a decline in the probability to support the African Union. Accordingly, economic growth discourages citizens’ positive appraisal for the union. Our results also show an asymmetry in the relationship between public opinion on supporting the African Union and economic growth. Policy implications are discussed.



中文翻译:

支持非洲联盟:宏观经济波动重要吗?

在本文中,我们通过探讨支持非洲一体化的个人意见是否对宏观经济波动敏感的问题,为非洲联盟合法性的争论做出了实证贡献。为此,我们使用第四第五第六和第八非洲晴雨表调查数据波和上下文逻辑模型。我们发现,人均 GDP 的增长与支持非洲联盟的可能性下降相关。因此,经济增长阻碍了公民对工会的积极评价。我们的结果还显示支持非洲联盟的公众舆论与经济增长之间的关系不对称。讨论了政策影响。

更新日期:2024-01-19
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