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Making Policies Matter: Voter Responses to Campaign Promises
The Economic Journal ( IF 3.721 ) Pub Date : 2024-02-01 , DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueae008
Cesi Cruz 1 , Philip Keefer 2 , Julien Labonne 3 , Francesco Trebbi 4
Affiliation  

Can voters in clientelist countries be swayed by programmatic promises? Results from a structural model and a field experiment disseminating candidate policy platforms in Philippine mayoral elections indicate that they can. Voters who received information about candidate policy promises were more likely to vote for candidates who were closer to their own preferences. Voters who were informed about incumbent candidates’ past commitments were more likely to vote for incumbents who fulfilled them. The structural model uncovers mechanisms. Information about campaign promises increases policies’ salience relative to other voter concerns; it also affects voter beliefs about candidate quality and candidates’ platforms.

中文翻译:

让政策发挥作用:选民对竞选承诺的反应

庇护主义国家的选民会受到纲领性承诺的影响吗?在菲律宾市长选举中传播候选人政策平台的结构模型和现场实验的结果表明它们可以。收到有关候选人政策承诺信息的选民更有可能投票给更接近自己偏好的候选人。了解现任候选人过去承诺的选民更有可能投票给履行这些承诺的现任候选人。结构模型揭示了机制。有关竞选承诺的信息增加了政策相对于其他选民关心的问题的显着性;它还影响选民对候选人质量和候选人平台的信念。
更新日期:2024-02-01
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