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An xG of Their Own: Using Expected Goals to Explore the Analytical Shortcomings of Misapplied Gender Schemas in Football
Journal of Sport Management ( IF 3.6 ) Pub Date : 2023-11-28 , DOI: 10.1123/jsm.2023-0022
Sachin Narayanan 1 , N. David Pifer 1
Affiliation  

Although professional women’s football has benefitted from recent surges in popularity, challenges to progress and distinguish the sport persist. The gender-schema theory explains the tendency for individuals to hold female sports to male standards, a phenomenon that leads to negative outcomes in areas such as media representation and consumer perception. One area in which schemas have a more discreet effect is player and team performance, where the assumption that technical metrics developed in men’s football are transferable to women’s football remains unfounded. Using expected goals, a metric synonymous with the probability of a shot being scored, we highlight how variables important to shot quality and shot execution differ across gender, and how attempts to evaluate female footballers with models built on men’s data increase estimation errors. These results have theoretical and practical implications for the role they play in reframing schemas and improving the methods used to evaluate performance in women’s sports.



中文翻译:

他们自己的 xG:利用预期进球来探索足球中性别模式误用的分析缺陷

尽管职业女子足球受益于近期人气的飙升,但这项运动的进步和区分仍然面临挑战。性别图式理论解释了个人倾向于将女性运动视为男性标准,这种现象会导致媒体代表性和消费者认知等领域产生负面结果。模式具有更谨慎影响的一个领域是球员和球队的表现,其中男子足球开发的技术指标可以转移到女子足球的假设仍然没有根据。使用预期进球(与射门得分概率同义的指标),我们强调了对射门质量和射门执行重要的变量如何因性别而异,以及尝试使用基于男性数据构建的模型来评估女足球运动员如何增加估计误差。这些结果对于重构模式和改进用于评估女子运动表现的方法具有理论和实践意义。

更新日期:2023-11-28
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