This study uses data collected from three diverse counties in the United States between 2017 and 2019 to compare the performance of a pretrial risk instrument—the Public Safety Assessment (or PSA)—to a revised version of the tool that accounts for risk of future violence in predicting three pretrial release outcomes. Results indicate the suggested three tiered release levels produced from the current PSA release conditions matrix (RCM) are better at predicting failure to appear in court, while those generated from the violence-informed RCM are better at predicting arrest for a new violent crime. The suggested release levels from both versions of the RCM were similarly able to distinguish between likelihood of a new arrest for any reason.

中文翻译：

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明智的审前改革：在司法释放决定中考虑暴力风险的重要性

本研究使用 2017 年至 2019 年间从美国三个不同县收集的数据，将审前风险工具——公共安全评估（PSA）——与考虑未来暴力风险的工具修订版的性能进行比较预测三个审前释放结果。结果表明，根据当前 PSA 释放条件矩阵 (RCM) 生成的建议三级释放水平能够更好地预测出庭失败，而根据暴力信息 RCM 生成的建议三级释放水平能够更好地预测因新暴力犯罪而被捕。两个版本的 RCM 的建议释放水平同样能够区分因任何原因进行新逮捕的可能性。