The energy transition, replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy, requires everyone's efforts to succeed. In the Netherlands, homeowners are expected to invest in sustainable heating. This article describes a cross-sectional survey among Dutch homeowners ( = 302) investigating determinants of their intentions to make such investments. Unlike earlier research, this study problematized the concept of investment intentions, assuming that intentions and determinants might vary between different investment scenarios. Four scenarios were distinguished: (1) long-term intentions, (2) short-term intentions, (3) intentions in the case of higher natural gas prices, and (4) intentions in the case of government support. The results show that homeowners' investment intentions differed significantly between the four scenarios: Government support led to the highest intentions, followed by, respectively, long-term intentions, intentions in the case of higher gas prices, and short-term intentions. Furthermore, the behavioral determinants differed considerably between the scenarios. The overall conclusion is that strategies to promote homeowners' investments in sustainable heating must be aligned with the scenarios foreseen. For each scenario, our study lists determinants that could be emphasized.

中文翻译：

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荷兰房主愿意投资可持续供暖系统吗？比较四种情景中的意图和决定因素

用可再生能源取代化石燃料的能源转型需要每个人的努力才能取得成功。在荷兰，房主预计将投资于可持续供暖。本文介绍了对荷兰房主 (= 302) 进行的一项横断面调查，调查他们进行此类投资的意图的决定因素。与早期的研究不同，本研究对投资意图的概念提出了问题，假设不同的投资场景之间的意图和决定因素可能有所不同。区分了四种情景：（1）长期意图，（2）短期意图，（3）天然气价格上涨情况下的意图，以及（4）政府支持情况下的意图。结果显示，四种情景下房主的投资意向存在显着差异：政府支持的意向最高，其次分别是长期意向、气价上涨情况下的意向和短期意向。此外，不同场景的行为决定因素也有很大差异。总体结论是，促进房主对可持续供暖投资的战略必须与预见的情况保持一致。对于每种情况，我们的研究都列出了可以强调的决定因素。