The challenge of aligning with the net-zero ambitions of the European Union necessitates a critical examination of the road freight transport sector, a pivotal contributor to global commerce and greenhouse gas emissions. Despite the sector's potential for electrification to mitigate emissions, the prevailing ‘predict and provide’ planning approach may inadvertently reduce this low-carbon transition to mere technological substitution, neglecting deeper intrinsic transport issues. This perspective critiques the ‘predict and provide’ approach and advocates for the adoption of ‘sufficiency-oriented planning’. It presents a comprehensive, interconnected approach, challenging not only the technology in use but also the foundational principles of transport demand. Furthermore, it explores the broader implications of this multi-system transition for the energy sector. The perspective consequently underscores the necessity of a paradigm shift in planning for road freight transport electrification for the sector to genuinely contribute to sustainability objectives and not risk diminishing the transformative potential of this transition.

中文翻译：

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超越预测和提供：拥抱整个欧盟公路货运电气化的充足协同效应

与欧盟净零雄心保持一致的挑战需要对道路货运行业进行严格审查，该行业是全球商业和温室气体排放的关键贡献者。尽管该行业具有通过电气化减少排放的潜力，但流行的“预测和提供”规划方法可能会无意中将这种低碳转型简化为单纯的技术替代，而忽视了更深层次的内在交通问题。这种观点批评了“预测和提供”的方法，并主张采用“以充足为导向的规划”。它提出了一种全面的、相互关联的方法，不仅挑战了正在使用的技术，而且挑战了运输需求的基本原则。此外，它还探讨了这种多系统转型对能源行业的更广泛影响。因此，该观点强调了该行业道路货运电气化规划范式转变的必要性，以真正为可持续发展目标做出贡献，而不是冒着削弱这一转变的变革潜力的风险。