Abstract

A methodological approach to construct models for predicting indicators of properties of information security systems at evolutionary stages of development is proposed. The approach is based on the idea of the development of information security systems as a process of change in the acceptable range of indicators characterizing their properties. It is assumed that the number of resources spent on improving each property is greater the closer the current value of the indicator characterizing this property is to the maximum possible value for the information security system under consideration. This circumstance is taken into account by reducing the relative rates of improvement in indicators as their values approach the maximum possible value.

中文翻译：

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构建预测信息安全系统属性指标模型的方法论

摘要

提出了一种构建模型的方法论方法，用于预测信息安全系统在发展演化阶段的属性指标。该方法基于这样的理念：信息安全系统的开发是表征其属性的可接受指标范围发生变化的过程。假设表征该属性的指标的当前值越接近所考虑的信息安全系统的最大可能值，则用于改进每个属性的资源数量就越大。当指标值接近最大可能值时，通过降低指标的相对改进率来考虑这种情况。