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A Comprehensive analysis of drought vulnerability in the Barind region of Bangladesh: A socio-ecological systems approach
Ecological Indicators ( IF 6.9 ) Pub Date : 2024-03-16 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111863
Raisa Afrin , Rumana Sultana , Md. Shafiul Alam

The main objective of this study was to investigate the vulnerability to climate change in the drought-prone region of Bangladesh through the utilization of a social-ecological system framework. The research was conducted in three sub-districts of Bangladesh prone to drought: Atrai, Nachole, and Tanore. The entropy method used exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity indicators to estimate vulnerability. The data was obtained by administering a structured questionnaire to 100 households and gathering meteorological information. The study’s findings reveal that the Barind region, namely Atrai, Nachol, and Tanore, exhibit a high level of sensitivity to climate change, as evidenced by their respective sensitivity indices of 0.465, 0.47, and 0.507. Additionally, the region demonstrates moderate adaptive potential, as evidenced by their corresponding indices. Specifically, Atrai, Nachol, and Tanore possess scores of 0.577, -0.48, and -0.191, respectively. The study areas exhibit high drought severity exposure, as evidenced by the values of Atrai-0.555, Nachol-0.595, and Tanore-0.551. Moreover, the study indicates that the capacity to handle drought is moderately vulnerable to climate change and requires economic cooperation to prepare for future conditions. Key initiatives include providing financial support for smallholder farmers, enforcing agricultural policies, investing in social capital, and implementing government-backed infrastructure and technology enhancements, all crucial for building resilience against climate change. The research findings can provide a foundation for making climate adaptation decisions in the Barind region and other comparable locations across the globe.

中文翻译:

孟加拉国巴林德地区干旱脆弱性的综合分析:社会生态系统方法

本研究的主要目的是通过利用社会生态系统框架来调查孟加拉国干旱地区对气候变化的脆弱性。该研究在孟加拉国易发生干旱的三个分区进行:阿特莱(Atrai)、纳乔尔(Nachole)和塔诺尔(Tanore)。熵值法利用暴露度、敏感性和适应能力指标来估计脆弱性。该数据是通过对 100 个家庭进行结构化调查并收集气象信息而获得的。研究结果表明,巴林德地区,即Atrai、Nachol和Tanore,对气候变化表现出高度的敏感性,其敏感性指数分别为0.465、0.47和0.507。此外,该区域表现出中等的适应潜力,如其相应的指数所证明的那样。具体来说,Atrai、Nachol 和 Tanore 的得分分别为 0.577、-0.48 和 -0.191。研究区域表现出较高的干旱严重程度,Atrai-0.555、Nachol-0.595 和 Tanore-0.551 的值证明了这一点。此外,研究表明,应对干旱的能力对气候变化的影响程度较低,需要进行经济合作,为未来的情况做好准备。主要举措包括为小农提供财政支持、执行农业政策、投资社会资本以及实施政府支持的基础设施和技术改进,所有这些对于增强抵御气候变化的能力至关重要。研究结果可以为巴林德地区和全球其他类似地区做出气候适应决策提供基础。
更新日期:2024-03-16
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