Individual-level indicators of populist attitudes vary from basic demographic factors to complex psychological dimensions. However, only a handful of studies have examined how emotions shape populist attitudes. To address this gap, and using observational data from Turkey, a context driven by strong polarization and populist politics, this study first examines how emotions—specifically, anger and enthusiasm—motivate distinct routes to populist attachment. It then explores the conditional effects of emotions in connection with political ideology and a conspiracy mindset. The results demonstrate, first, that anger is closely related to populist attitudes in contrast to enthusiasm, which is associated with weaker populist attitudes. Second, in the context of Turkey, where a populist party has been in power, there is an ideological asymmetry in that those on the political right are more influenced by anger than enthusiasm. Third, these emotions are potentially more effective in altering the populist views of those with low levels of conspiratorial mindset. Contributing to the literature on the connection between emotions and populism, this study presents evidence on how anger and enthusiasm influence populist preferences in a polarized country.

中文翻译：

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土耳其民粹主义的情绪预测

民粹主义态度的个人层面指标从基本的人口因素到复杂的心理因素各不相同。然而，只有少数研究探讨了情绪如何塑造民粹主义态度。为了解决这一差距，本研究利用来自土耳其（一个由强烈两极分化和民粹主义政治驱动的背景）的观察数据，首先研究了情绪（特别是愤怒和热情）如何激发民粹主义依恋的不同途径。然后探讨了情绪与政治意识形态和阴谋心态的条件影响。结果首先表明，愤怒与民粹主义态度密切相关，而热情则与较弱的民粹主义态度相关。其次，在民粹主义政党执政的土耳其，意识形态上存在不对称，政治右翼更多地受到愤怒而非热情的影响。第三，这些情绪可能更有效地改变那些阴谋心态水平较低的人的民粹主义观点。这项研究为有关情绪与民粹主义之间联系的文献做出了贡献，提供了有关愤怒和热情如何影响两极分化国家中民粹主义偏好的证据。