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A Cost Model for Ocean Iron Fertilization as a Means of Carbon Dioxide Removal That Compares Ship- and Aerial-Based Delivery, and Estimates Verification Costs
Earth's Future ( IF 8.852 ) Pub Date : 2024-03-29 , DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003732
David Emerson 1 , Laura E. Sofen 1 , Alexander B. Michaud 1 , Stephen D. Archer 1 , Benjamin S. Twining 1
Affiliation  

We present a cost model for implementing a deployment scale effort for conducting ocean iron fertilization (OIF) for marine-based carbon dioxide removal (CDR). The model incorporates basic oceanographic parameters critical for estimating the effective export of newly fixed CO2 into biomass that is stimulated by Fe addition to an Fe-limited region of the Southern Ocean. Estimated costs can vary by nearly 100-fold between best-case and worst-case scenarios, with best-case values of $7/net tonne C captured versus worst-case $1,500/net tonne C captured, without accounting for verification costs. Primary oceanographic factors that influence cost are the net primary productivity increases achieved via OIF, the amount of C exported into the deep ocean, and the amount of CO2 ventilated back to the atmosphere. The model compares ship-based versus aerial delivery of Fe to the ocean, and estimates aerial delivery can be 30%–40% more cost effective; however, the specific requirements for aerial delivery require additional research and development. The model also estimates costs associated with verification and environmental monitoring of OIF. These costs increase $/net tonne C captured by 3–4-fold. Best, intermediate, and worst cases for aerial delivery and ship delivery are $21, $83, $2,033, and $24, $94, $4,691, respectively, inclusive of verification costs. The primary goal of this model is to demonstrate the variability in cost of OIF as a CDR method, and to better understand where additional research is needed to determine the major factors that may make OIF a tractable, nature-based CDR method.

中文翻译:

作为二氧化碳去除手段的海洋铁肥成本模型,比较船载和空载运输,并估算验证成本

我们提出了一个成本模型,用于实施海洋铁肥化(OIF)以实现基于海洋的二氧化碳去除(CDR)的部署规模工作。该模型纳入了基本海洋学参数,这些参数对于估计新固定的 CO 2向生物量的有效输出至关重要,而生物量是通过向南大洋铁有限区域添加铁来刺激的。最好情况和最坏情况之间的估计成本可能相差近 100 倍,最好情况下捕获的净吨 C 价值为 7 美元/净吨 C,最坏情况下捕获的价值为 1,500 美元/净吨 C,而不考虑验证成本。影响成本的主要海洋因素是通过OIF实现的净初级生产力增加、输出到深海的C量以及排回大气的CO 2量。该模型比较了通过船载和空中向海洋输送铁,并估​​计空中输送的成本效益可提高 30%–40%;然而,空投的具体要求需要额外的研究和开发。该模型还估算了与 OIF 验证和环境监测相关的成本。这些成本使捕获的每净吨 C 美元增加了 3-4 倍。空运和海运的最佳、中等和最差情况分别为 21 美元、83 美元、2,033 美元和 24 美元、94 美元、4,691 美元,包括验证费用。该模型的主要目标是证明 OIF 作为 CDR 方法的成本变化,并更好地了解需要进行哪些额外研究来确定可能使 OIF 成为易于处理、基于自然的 CDR 方法的主要因素。
更新日期:2024-04-01
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